轨道交通快速发展背景下的常规公交应对策略

Research on Bus Coping Strategy under the Rapid Development of Urban Rail Transit

"十二五"期间全国公共交通年客运量增加约102亿人次,其中轨道交通客运量增加了69亿人次,贡献率高达67.6%,而同期常规公交客运量增速缓慢,年均增长率仅为1.2%。轨道交通开通运营对常规公交的发展提出了严峻的挑战,如何应对轨道交通快速发展所带来的挑战成为未来常规公交面临的问题。该文选取国内部分开通轨道交通的城市,对轨道交通开通后常规公交发展趋势进行分析,根据轨道交通营运里程和常规公交特征,探讨轨道交通开通后常规公交的三个发展阶段及其特点,并对出每一阶段常规公交的应对策略。

The nationwide passenger capacity of public transit increased about 10 billion person-time from 2011 to 2015. The volume of rail transit increased by 6 billion 900 million passengers, with a contribution rate of 67.6%. While the annual growth rate of bus is only 1.2%. The operation of rail transit is a great challenge to bus. This paper selects some cities to study the bus development trend after the emergence of rail transit. According to the rail transit mileage and bus characteristics, this paper summarizes the three stages of bus development and points out the coping strategies.