基于Stata分析流通业发展对城镇化的作用——以省际面板数据的实证研究为基础

Analysis of Urbanization Effect of Development of Circulation Industry Based on Stata——the Empirical Study of the Inter Provincial Panel Data

采用样本回归模型研究方法,以2008-2015年我国31个省际流通业发展和城镇化水平相关面板数据为样本,实证研究流通业发展对城镇化的显著促进作用。研究结果表明,人均消费品零售额每增加1%,城镇人口占比将提高0.2407个百分点,且这种促进作用进一步呈现出明显的地区性差异,人均消费品零售额每增加1%,东、中、西部地区的城镇人口占比分别提高0.2954、0.0621、0.2259个百分点。针对该差异问题进而提出包括扩大流通业固定资产投资、发挥流通业就业带动作用等有针对性的政策建议。

This paper adopts the sample regression model research method and uses the relevant panel data of 31 inter-provincial circulation development and urbanization levels in China as a sample from 2008 to 2015 to empirically study the significant role of circulation industry development in promoting urbanization. The results show that per capital consumer goods retail sales increase by 1%, urban population ratio will increase by 0.2407 percentage points, and this promotion effect further presents a significant regional difference, per capital consumer goods retail sales increase by 1%, the proportion of urban population in eastern, central and western regions is increased by 0.2954, 0.0621, 0.2259 percentage points. Points. Aiming at the discrepancy, this paper puts forward some targeted policy recommendations, such as expanding investment in fixed assets in circulation industry, and playing a leading role in the employment of circulation industry.