基于空间分布的毒品传播预测及溯源方法研究

Research on Drug Dissemination Prediction and Traceability Method Based on Spatial Distribution

近10年来,毒品的非法使用已然成为全球各国的社会公共健康问题。据保守估计,中国是全球使用静脉注射毒品人数最多的国家之一,在全国范围内统计在册的人数高达133万,但实际的人数远高于此,加快了艾滋病和丙型肝炎等疾病的传播速度,严重危害人类的生命健康。因此,对毒品传播的预测和溯源成为社会安定研究的一大热点。笔者即对此进行研究,以期为相关研究提供借鉴。

In the past decade, the illegal use of drugs has become a social and public health problem in all countries of the world. According to conservative estimates, China is one of the countries with the largest number of intravenous drug users in the world. The number of registered drug users has reached 1.33 million nationwide, but the actual number is much higher than that. This has greatly exacerbated the spread of AIDS and hepatitis C and other diseases, seriously endangering human life and health. Therefore, the prediction and traceability of drug transmission has become a hot topic in the study of social stability. This paper is to study this, in order to provide a reference for relevant research.