基于新型引力模型的国际贸易量实证研究分析

Empirical Analysis of International Trade Volume Based on the New Gravity Model

在传统引力模型的基础上,通过引入人均GDP等新变量,来构建新型引力模型,同时使用中、美、日、韩、德五国相关数据对新型引力模型进行计量回归分析。通过资料查阅、数据选取、模型构建以及结果分析等相关研究,对引力模型有了比较新颖的认识,探寻出了影响双边贸易量的其他相关因素,并提出相关对策建议,对相关领域的后续研究具有一定的借鉴意义。

Based on the traditional gravity model, this paper constructs a new gravity model by introducing new variables such as per capita GDP. At the same time, this paper uses the relevant data of China, the United States, Japan, South Korea and Germany to conduct a quantitative regression analysis to the new gravity model. Through data review, data selection, model construction and results analysis, the author has a relatively new understanding of the gravity model, explored other relevant factors affecting bilateral trade volume, and provided corresponding suggestions for China' s international trade. It has certain theoretical research significance for the follow - up research in related fields.