中国经济增长的外溢效应研究

Study on the Spillover Effects of China's Economic Growth

文章利用社会网络分析法,从全球经济增长网络视角探究了中国经济增长外溢效应的存在性,并在投入产出法的基础上以"一带一路"沿线国家为研究对象,对中国经济增长外溢效应进行了量化研究。研究结果证明,中国已经成为世界经济增长的重要推动国家之一,且凭借第二产业的领头作用,中国对"一带一路"沿线国家的外溢效应呈现不断上升的趋势,不过第三产业的外溢效应仍然有限。

After four decades of reform and opening up,the rapid development of China’s economy has driven the growth of the world economy,however,it has also triggered the trepidation of developed countries on China’s rising up. The externalities of China’s economic growth have become prominent. Under this background,this paper first employs social network analysis to explore the existence of the spillover effects of China’s economic growth. Then the input-output method is used to study the spillover effects of China’s economic growth on the countries along the "Belt and Road". Our findings prove that China has become one of the important driving forces for world economic growth. Led by its secondary industry,China’s spillover effects on countries along the Belt and Road is on the rise,but that of the tertiary industry is still limited. Finally,this paper proposes specific countermeasures and suggestions on how to give full play to the spillover effects of China’s economic growth.