西部地区金融体系与产业结构耦合度研究——最优金融结构理论的视角

Study on the Coupling Degree of the Financial System and Industrial Structure in the Western Region——From the Perspective of Optimal Financial Structure Theory

本文基于最优金融结构理论,选取2006—2015年西部地区各省、直辖市及自治区的面板数据,利用耦合模型与灰色关联度模型,对西部地区金融体系与产业结构之间的耦合度进行了分析。结果表明:(1)总体上,西部地区的金融体系与产业结构之间属于高度耦合,符合最优金融结构理论观点;(2)在金融体系的分指标中,除了保险密度外,其他都是导致西部地区产业结构调整的重要因素,但是具体到各个省区市,则存在显著的差异;(3)在金融体系的三个子系统中,金融结构与西部地区产业结构之间的关联度最高,金融规模居中,关联度最小的为金融效率。

Based on the optimal financial structure theory,this paper selects the panel data of provinces,munici- palities and autonomous regions in the western region from 2006 to 2015. Using the models of coupling and gray rele- vancy,this paper analyses the degree of coupling between the financial system and the industrial structure in the west- ern region,and the results are as follows.(1)Ingeneral,the financial system and the industrial structure of the west- ern region are highly coupled,in line with the optimalfinancialstructure theory.(2)In the sub index of the financial system,in addition to the insurance density,everything else is an important factor of industrial structure adjustment in western region,however,there are significant differences in different provinces and municipalities.(3)Among the three subsystems of the financial system,the financial structure has the highest correlation with the industrial structure of the western region,while the financial scale is middle and the financial efficiency is the least.