产业共性技术扩散行为演化及动力机制

Evolution of Industrial Generic Technology Diffusion Behavior and Motivation Mechanism

本文从研发过程视角揭示共性技术扩散行为及其影响机理,据此运用演化博弈论分析共性技术扩散行为演化动态。研究表明:共性技术扩散是有潜在需求企业基于采纳与不采纳共性技术收益权衡的动态演化结果,共性技术预期市场收益、不采纳引致损失增加和替代收益降低及企业需求系数、市场前景系数、收益实现概率增加均利于共性技术扩散;知识产权保护程度越低越利于扩散,而较弱的分享意愿阻碍扩散;政府补贴和知识技术支持均有助于共性技术扩散,知识技术支持对共性技术扩散的作用受到技术转化系数的正向调节。根据上述结论,构建以共性技术供给及其收益为源动力、以企业采纳为牵引力、以政府支持为推动力及三种力量相互交织作用的共性技术扩散动力机制,并从源动力、牵引力和推动力的视角提出共性技术扩散动力机制有效运行的政策建议。

This paper firstly analyzes the diffusion mechanism of Industrial generic technology from the generic technology R&D process perspective.Then,it uses evolutionary game theory to analyze the evolution dynamics of generic technology diffusion behavior.The results are as follows.Generic technology diffusion is the dynamic evolution result of enterprise R&D benefit tradeoff based on whether adopting generic technology or not.The expected revenue increases from generic technology,the losses increase from non-adopting generic technology and the reduction of substitution investment returns is good for generic technology diffusion.The demand coefficient of enterprise,the market prospect coefficient and the increases of income realization probability from generic technology also are good for diffusion.The lower the sharing level of generic technology intellectual property is,the more beneficial is it to diffusion,but the weaker sharing does willingness of supply enterprises hinder diffusion.Both Government finance and knowledge & technology supports are good for diffusion.The effect of knowledge & technology support on the diffusion is positively regulated by technology conversion coefficient.Based on the above conclusions,this paper constructs the motivation mechanism of generic technology diffusion which includes the driving force from government support,the traction power from enterprises adopting and the source force from generic technology supply and market returns.Finally,this paper proposes the policy suggestions to promote generic technology diffusion from the perspective of driving force,traction power and source force.