孟中印缅经济走廊建设中的“安全困境”与应对之策

The Security Dilemma in BCIM-Economic Corridor and Its Countermeasures

经过20年的努力,外界普遍对孟中印缅次区域合作所蕴含的增长潜力以及合作前景"寄予厚望",但现实的发展却依然不尽如人意。究其原因,除了基础设施资金需求大、见效慢等方面,另一个重要原因是孟印缅三国特别是印度过于重视地缘政治因素与安全考量,导致跨境次区域合作面临"安全困境"。基于此,孟中印缅经济走廊建设应该适度考虑孟印缅特别是印度的安全诉求,以贸易与投资为主体推进产能合作基础上的区域经济合作。当区域合作的需求达到一定程度,陆地的重要性就会凸显出来,从而使次区域合作中的"安全困境"得到弱化。

people have high expectation on growth potential and cooperation prospects on BCIM sub regional cooperation,but the reality is somehow disappointed.The reasons for the slow progress on BCIM include lack of huge fund for infrastructure,and BIM countries,especially India are high concerned on political and security issues which lead to security dilemma in regional cooperation.BCIM-Economic Corridor should take India’s security concerns into consideration and should promote capability cooperation based on trade and investment.With the regional cooperation,the importance of land will be recognized which will somehow ease the security dilemma.