住房公积金、住房性质与农民工市民化意愿的实证研究——基于2016年中国流动人口动态监测调查

An Empirical Study Based on Housing Fund,Nature of the Housing and Will of the Citizenization of Migrant Workers——On CMDS in 2016

将农民工纳入住房保障体系是实行农民工市民化战略的重要举措。本文利用2016年《中国流动人口动态监测调查》数据,考察了住房公积金缴纳、住房性质对农民工市民化意愿的影响。研究发现缴纳住房公积金会使农民工的居留意愿和落户意愿显著提高,拥有自有住房也会使农民工的居留意愿和落户意愿显著提高。同时,本文利用工具变量法解决模型中可能出现的内生性问题,所得结果依然稳健。此外,本文还从代际的视角分析农民工的市民化意愿,发现住房公积金的缴纳在老一代农民工中的作用效果更为显著。因此,本文认为应充分发挥住房公积金在市民化进程中的推动作用,健全住房保障制度,进一步促进新型城镇化进程的发展。

It is an important measure to integrate migrant workers into the housing security system to implement the strategy of citizenization of migrant workers.Based on the data of CMDS in 2016,this paper investigates the impact of housing fund payment and nature of the housing on the will of the citizenization of migrant workers.The study found that the payment of housing fund will significantly increase the migrant workers' willingness to stay and settle down,and the ownership of housing will also significantly increase the migrant workers' willingness to stay and settle down.At the same time,this paper uses IV method to solve the possible endogenous problems in the model,and the results are still robust.In addition,this paper also analyzes migrant workers' willingness of citizenization from the perspective of generations,and finds that the payment of housing fund plays a more significant role in the older generation of migrant workers.Therefore,this paper argues that the housing accumulation fund should be given full play in the process of citizenization and the housing security system should be improved to promote the development of new urbanization.