基于住房价格偏离水平的高潜力老旧小区筛选方法与应用——以北京市为例

The Method and Application Based on the Housing Value Deviation Level for Selecting High Potential Old Urban Community:A Case Study of Beijing

什么样的老旧小区如果经过更新改造后会具有更高的升值空间?具体到北京市,这些高潜力老旧小区主要分布在哪里?本研究旨在回答上述两个关键问题。遵循Hedonic住房特征价格模型的基础理论和实证分析框架,我们测算得到了北京市主要住宅小区房价和租金水平的理论值及其与实际值的偏差程度,据此量化评估城市更新后的升值潜力,并给出对重点老旧小区的筛选建议。

What kind of old comm unity will have a higher appreciation space if it is updated? Specific to a city, where are these high-potential old communities mainly distributed? The study aims to answer the two key questions above. Following the basic theory and empirical analysis framework of the Hedonic Price Model, we calculated the deviation between the actual value and theoretical value of both housing price and rent of main residential communities in Beijing. Based on the deviation level, we quantitatively evaluated the appreciation pote ntial after urba n renewal. Finally, we con elude some suggestions for selecting key old urban communities during the process of urban renewal.