旅游消费、产业结构调整与区域均衡发展

Tourism Consumption, Industrial Structure Adjustment and Regional Balanced Development

基于内生增长理论框架,分析了旅游消费对区域均衡发展的影响机制与效应,进而构建面板中介效应模型,结合中国2003-2015年省级面板数据,实证检验了旅游消费对区域均衡发展的影响及中介效应。研究表明:旅游消费对区域均衡发展具有显著的正向效应,并且存在产业结构中介效应,稳健性检验也支持了该结论;无论是国内旅游消费还是入境旅游消费,都对区域均衡发展具有推动作用,且国内旅游消费的作用更大;分地区来看,旅游消费对区域均衡发展的影响效果存在显著的地域差异,东部、中部和西部地区旅游消费虽均能促进区域均衡发展,但东部地区旅游消费对区域均衡发展的贡献度要高于中西部地区。

Based on the framework of endogenous growth theory, this paper analyzes the influencing mechanism and effects of tourism consumption on regional balanced development. Then, there is an empirical research using panel mediating effect model and provincial-level panel data of China from 2003 to 2015. The research shows that, tourism consumption has a significant positive effect on regional balanced development, and there is a mediating effect of industrial structure, which is supported by the robustness test. Both domestic tourism consumption and inbound tourism consumption have a positive affect on balanced development of regions, but domestic tourism consumption plays a greater role. From the regional perspective, there are significant regional differences in the impact of tourism consumption on regional balanced development. Although tourism con sumption in eastern, middle and western regions can promote regional balanced development, the contribution of tourism consumption in eastern regions to regional balanced development is higher than that in middle and western regions.