区域创新能力与全要素生产率的空间计量研究

Spatial Econometric Research about the Regional Innovation Ability and Total Factor Productivity

文章以各省2000-2016年的面板数据为样本,借鉴创新能力评价指标体系最新成果,对各省的创新能力进行评价分析,采用DEA-Malmquist指数法测算各省的全要素生产率,通过建立空间面板数据模型,实证检验创新能力对全要素生产率的影响。实证结果表明:核心变量创新能力对全要素生产率有促进作用,但是不显著。控制变量方面,人力资本对全要素生产率没有发挥应有的促进作用;信息化程度、产业结构升级和政府对经济的干预对全要素生产率有显著的促进作用;外贸依存度对全要素生产率有抑制作用,但是不显著。

This paper evaluates the innovation ability by drawing on the latest achievements of the evaluation index system of innovation ability and calculates the total factor productivity( TFP) by using DEA and Malmquist Index on the basis of 2000-2016 provincial panel data. And then makes an empirical test between the innovation ability and TFP by establishing spatial panel data model. The empirical results show that innovation ability as the key variable has a positive effect on TFP,but not significantly. Human capital as a control variable doesn’tplay its due positive role on TFP. The degree of informatization,in dustrial structure promotion and government intervention in the economy have a positive effect on TFP significantly;Foreign trade dependence has a negative effect on TFP,but not significantly.