近二十年浙江省教育对经济增长的贡献研究——人力资本理论的视角

On the Contribution of Education to Economic Growth in Zhejiang Province in Two Decades from the Perspective of Human Capital Theory

浙江经济持续高速增长,人力资本对此做出了巨大贡献。基于浙江1996—2015年的相关数据,以卢卡斯人力资本模型作为分析工具,运用EVIEWS7. 2软件,采用两种计算方法分析浙江人力资本存量对经济增长的贡献。研究表明:两种计算方法得出的结论相差甚大,说明尽管总体上教育对经济增长具有显著的贡献,但传统学历教育年限递增对经济增长的贡献式微,非学历教育对经济增长的贡献凸显,这些变化为浙江的继续教育政策调整创设了经济前提。

Human capital contributes a lot to the rapid and continual economic increase in Zhejiang province. Base on the related data in 1996-2015,the contribution of human capital stock to economic growth in Zhejiang province was analyzed by means of Lucas human capital model and EVIEWS7. 2 software. The study shows that there is a significant difference between the results of the two calculation methods,which indicates that although education generally contributes a lot to the economic growth,the progressive increase of traditional degree education years has little contribution to economic growth;while the non-degree education contributes a lot to the economic growth. These changes have created economic premise for the adjustment of Zhejiang’s lifelong education policy.