中日第三方市场合作:日本的考量与阻力

Third-party Market Cooperation between China and Japan: Strategic Considerations and Resistances in Japan

伴随中日关系回暖,日本对"一带一路"倡议的态度转向积极,愿与中国推进在沿线国家的第三方市场合作。日本对华开展第三方市场合作,既是其欲在经济上"联华御美"、实施"有限自主战略"的重要切入点,也与国内利益集团的强烈诉求密切相关,更是在"亚洲雁阵模式"式微背景下,力图重新获得亚太经济主导权的主动作为。在中日两国合作趋势向好的同时,也应看到未来面临的诸多挑战。日本自身并未完全摒弃对华冷战思维,对本国企业存在诸多限制,仍在明里暗里对冲"一带一路"倡议影响力,此外还时刻面临美国利益诱导与压力。中国应积极与日方积累第三方市场合作功能性成果,争取日本对"一带一路"倡议的完全认同,真正构建起"中日经济命运共同体",切实造福两国人民。

With the warming of China-Japan relations, Japan’s attitude toward the Belt and Road Initiative is turning positive and Japan has expressed its willingness to cooperate with China in third-party markets along the Belt and the Road routes. Japan’s attempt to engage in cooperation with China in third-party market can be attributed to its intention of “resisting the US by aligning with China” and the strategy of “limited independence”, the strong demand of Japanese domestic interest groups, as well as its intention to regain economic dominance in the Asia-Pacific region with the weakening of its “Flying Geese Paradigm”. However, despite the current positive trend of bilateral cooperation, it should also be seen that various challenges lie ahead in the future. Japan has not completely abandoned the Cold War mentality toward China and has imposed many restrictions on its own enterprises, in an attempt to hedge against the influence of the Belt and Road Initiative. In addition, it is under constant luring and pressure from the US. China should actively accumulate outcomes of active cooperation with Japan in third-party markets, in an aim to win over Japan’s whole-hearted recognition of the BRI, build a true “China-Japan community of shared economic future” and bring benefit to people of the two countries.