复杂理论视域下“一带一路”沿线国家卫生合作特点研究

Study of the characteristics of healthcarecooperation among countries along the Belt and Road from the perspective of complexity theory

目的:分析影响国际卫生合作的因素,对“一带一路”沿线国家的特征进行分类识别。方法:依据复杂理论和文献资料,梳理国际卫生合作的重要影响因素,运用SPSS22.0进行二阶聚类分析。结果:聚类分析结果表明62个“一带一路”沿线国家聚成3类,第一类国家16个,具有卫生需要小、合作关系弱、国别合作基础差、合作风险低等特征;第二类国家22个,具有卫生需要高、合作关系良好、国别合作基础好、合作风险高等特征;第三类国家24个,具有卫生需要一般、合作关系一般、国别合作基础较好、合作风险较低等特征。结论:国际卫生合作特点可通过SDG健康指数、HDI等级、国别合作度、国家风险等级、外交关系和卫生机制数量来识别,基于不同国家不同卫生需要、国别合作基础、合作风险及双边关系的特点,分类开展卫生合作。

Objective: This study aims to analyze the factors influencing internationalhealthcare cooperation and identify the characteristics of countries along the Belt and Road.Methods: Based on the complexity theory and literature review, the major influential factors of international healthcare cooperation areidentified and the two-step clustering methodis used with SPSS 22.0 to analyzethese countries to determine their characteristics.Results:A total of 62 countries are classified into three categories: 16 have few health needs, weak cooperation foundation, and low cooperation risk;22 possess high health needs, good cooperation relationship, yet high cooperation risk;while the remaining 24 nations have general health needs and cooperation relation, good cooperation foundation, and low cooperation risk.Conclusions: The characteristics of international healthcare cooperationcan be identified with theSDG health index, HDI level, degree of cooperation, country risk rating, diplomatic relations, and the number of established health mechanisms. Healthcare cooperation canbe respectivelydetermined based on their different health needs, cooperation foundation, cooperation risk, and bilateral relationship.