1988—2016年新疆工业技术进步偏向测算及分析

Measure and Analysis on Biased Technical Progress of Industries in Xinjiang from 1988 to 2016

新疆正处于以创新驱动发展推进工业转型升级的战略机遇期,为了探究工业技术变迁机理及其收入分配效应,利用包含要素增强型技术进步项的CES生产函数构建标准化供给面系统,借助STATA15.0软件考察1988—2016年新疆工业技术进步偏向及其成因。结果显示:资本深化使新疆工业技术进步总体上偏向劳动,在人力资本积累不足背景下,也加剧了资本对非熟练、低技能劳动的替代性,使技术进步呈现就业挤出效应,粗放型投资增长方式还引发资本生产效率的相对下降,进而使技术进步表现为劳动增强型。

The industrial economy of Xinjiang is in a period of strategic opportunities for transformation and upgrading promoted by innovation-driven development. It is a practical topic to reveal the mechanism of industrial technology change and its income distribution effect with Xinjiang characteristics. So, based on time series data from 1988 to 2016, this paper measured and analyzed Xinjiang’s industrial biased technical progress and the causes using the normalized supply-side system estimation approach. In recent 30 years, Xinjiang’s industrial technical progress is generally biased to labor owing to capital deepening. Under the background of insufficient accumulation of human capital, the substitution of capital to unskilled and low-skilled labor is aggravated, which triggers the crowding-out effect of technical progress on employment. Extensive investment growth also leads to a relative decline in capital productivity, then resulting that Xinjiang’s industrial technical progress is labor-intensive.