项群理论视域下我国冬奥会奖牌分布及重点项目选择分析

Distribution of Winter Olympic MEDALS and Selection of Key Events in China from the Perspective of Item Group Theory

在项群理论视域下,从不同维度将我国历届冬奥会夺牌项目进行分类,运用文献资料、数理统计等研究方法,探究历届冬奥会我国奖牌分布及重点项目选择,结果显示:我国冬奥会奖牌分布在A、B、C、D、E、F六类项群中,A类项群实力最稳定,为奥运会优势项群;B类项群实力高于C类项群;D类项群略好于E类项群,E类项群实力呈显著上升趋势;F类项群为偶然夺牌项群。项目选择上应继续保持A、B、C类项群传统项目的稳定发展,以D、E、F类项群中新兴项目为重要突破口,挖掘女子单项在冬奥会项目中的优势,在变动发展的项目设置中把握我国冬季奥运项目的制胜途径。

Under the item group theory horizon, from different dimensions to classify all previous winter Olympics medal project in China, using the method of documentary, mathematical statistics method, explore all previous Olympic medal and selection of key projects in China, the results show that China’s Olympic MEDALS in A, B, C, D, E, F six item groups, class A item group strength the most stable, the advantage for the Olympics item group;The strength of group B was higher than that of group C. Group D was slightly better than group E, and group E showed a significant increase in strength. Category F is a group of accidental seizure. In terms of project selection, it continues to maintain the stable development of the traditional projects of category A, B and C, and takes the emerging projects of category D, E and F as an important breakthrough point to explore the advantages of The woman’s individual events in the winter Olympic Games, and to grasp the winning ways of China’s winter Olympic events in the changing and developing project Settings.