摘要
为了定量分析“三农政策”对我国农业发展及农民收入提升的作用,通过建立一元回归模型表明三农政策实施后,农村居民人均实际纯收入增幅显著变大,三农政策有效促进了农村经济的发展;通过对多个政策因素建立多元回归模型得出:每减少农业税一个百分比,使得农民人均纯收入增加180元;每增加1万kW机械总动力,可以增加0.061元的人均纯收入;农林牧副渔固定资产投资增加1亿元,人均纯收入平均增加0.24元。
In order to quantitatively analyze the role of the "Three Agricultural Policies" in the development of agriculture and the promotion of farmers' income in China, a single regression model was established to show that after the implementation of the "Three Agricultural Policies", the real per capita net income of rural residents increased significantly, and the "Three Agricultural Policies" effectively promoted the development of rural economy. According to the regression model, the net per capita income of farmers will increase by 180 yuan for every percentage reduction of agricultural tax, 0.061 yuan per capita net income for every 10,000 kilowatt mechanical power increase, 100 million yuan for investment in fixed assets of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and by-fishery, and 0.24 yuan per capita net income increase on average.
作者
冮建伟
蔡欣悦
朱家明
GANG Jian-wei;CAI Xin-yue;ZHU Jia-ming(School of Finance,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233000,China;School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233000,China)
出处
《佳木斯大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
2019年第3期459-462,共4页
Journal of Jiamusi University:Natural Science Edition
基金
安徽财经大学2019年度大学生科研创新基金(XSKY1906ZD)
国家自然科学基金(11601001)
安徽财经大学校级教研项目(acxkjsjy201803zd
acjyyb2018006)
关键词
三农政策
农民收入
影响因素
多元回归模型
政策建议
three rural policies
farmers' income
influencing factors
multiple regression models
policy recommendations