基于计划行为理论的樱桃种植户对气候变化与气象灾害适应行为研究

Cherry growers’ adaptation to climate change and meteorological disasters based on Theory of Planned Behavior

了解农户气候变化与气象灾害适应行为影响机制对未来制定有效气候变化政策至关重要。基于计划行为理论,利用西安市白鹿原樱桃种植区农户的调查数据,结合结构方程模型分析樱桃种植户气候变化与气象灾害适应行为机制。研究表明,种植户关于气候变化与气象灾害的行为态度、主观规范和知觉行为控制三者之间相互影响,且三者均可直接影响种植户适应气候变化与气象灾害的行为意向,其中行为态度对行为意向的影响最为显著;种植户的知觉行为控制对于气候变化及气象灾害的适应行为影响不显著;种植户对气候变化与气象灾害的行为意向是影响其适应行为最直接的因素。

It is essential to understand the mechanism of behaviors in farmers’ adaptation to climate change and meteorological disasters to make climate change policies in the future. In combine with the structural equation model, the survey data of farmers in the cherry planting area of Bailuyuan in Xi’an were used to analyze the behavior mechanism of growers’ adaptation to climate change and meteorological disasters based on Theory of Planned Behavior. The results show that cherry growers’ attitude toward the behavior, subject norm and perceived behavior control interact with each other. They have a direct positive impact on behavior intention, and attitude toward the behavior has the highest impact. Growers’ behavioral intention to climate change and meteorological disasters has a significant impact on adaptation behavior. The perceived behavior control of peasant households has not significant influence on the adaptation to climate change behavior and meteorological disasters.