腐败对中国经济发展的抑制效应研究——基于面板分位数回归模型的实证检验

Studies on the Inhibition Effect of Corruption on China’s Economic Development——Empirical Test Based on Panel Quantile Regression Model

东亚国家在经济发展起飞阶段伴随有严重的腐败问题。理论上腐败对经济增长具有严重的破坏作用,经验上证实腐败对经济发展抑制效应的存在性是必然的。本文以2000~2015年中国31个省份数据为样本,在对腐败进行量化分析的基础上,采用面板分位数回归方法实证检验腐败对区域经济发展的抑制效应;通过建立经济发展水平和经济增长速度两个方程,分别检验发现腐败对经济发展水平和经济增长速度的抑制效应均显著,且抑制效应在经济发展水平越高和经济增长速度越快的地区表现得越强。最后,结合我国实际,提出深刻认识腐败对经济发展的巨大危害,进一步加大反腐败斗争力度的对策建议。

Corruption is an important problem faced with East Asian country.The inhibition effect of corruption on economic development has always been one of hotspot issues in political science and economics.We empirically analyzes the impact of corruption on China's regional economic development by using panel quantile regression,based on the date of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2015 and the quantitative analysis of corruption indicators.From the two aspects of regional economic development level and economic growth,we find that corruption has a significant inhibitory effect on economic development,and the inhibitory effect is stronger in regions with higher level of economic development and faster economic growth.Finally,we make some suggestions combined with our experience of anti-corruption and the new changes in the form of corruption,such as recognizing the harm of corruption to economic development,and strengthen the anti-corruption further.