山西省旅游交通碳排放测度及其演变机理

Carbon Emission and Evolution Mechanism of Tourism Transportation in Shanxi Province

利用世界旅游组织(UNWTO)的计算方法,以山西省为案例地,测度2004—2015年山西省铁路、公路、民航等旅游交通碳排放量及其演化过程;同时利用Kaya等式和LMDI分解模型分析测算山西省旅游交通碳排放的影响因素,从游客数量、人均旅游消费水平、旅游产业对生产总值的贡献率、单位GDP客运交通周转量、单位客运交通周转量能耗、能源结构六大方面,测度并探讨山西省旅游交通碳排放的主要机理,分析结果显示:促进旅游交通碳排放增长的主要影响因素是游客数量、人均旅游消费水平和单位交通周转量的能耗;旅游产业的产值占GDP比重、单位GDP客运交通周转量和能源结构是有效抑制碳排放增长的因素。

Tourism carbon emissions with the rapid development of tourism increase year by year. In the context of energy conservation and emission reduction, how to better achieve the carbon reduction of tourism is an urgent issue to be concerned about. In this paper, We take Shanxi Province as research area and measure its carbon emissions in tourism transportation and evolution process of railway traffic, highway and civil aviation from 2004 to 2015 utilizing the method of World Tourism Organization(UNWTO). At the same time, we analyze the influencing factors of tourism traffic carbon emissions in Shanxi Province by the methods of Kaya equation decomposition and LMDI model. From the tourist amount, the level of per capita tourism consumption, the contribution rate of the tourism industry to the GDP, turnover of passenger per unit GDP, energy consumption per unit turnover of passenger, energy structure, we explore the main factors affecting the carbon emissions of tourism transportation in Shanxi Province. The results show: tourist amount, the level of per capita tourism consumption and energy consumption per unit turnover of passenger are the main factors that cause the growth of tourism traffic, while the contribution rate of tourism industry to the GDP, turnover of passenger per unit GDP and energy structure have a negative effect on carbon emissions of tourism traffic. It is hoped that it can provide decisionmaking reference for the implementation of the corresponding policies and emission reduction measures of regional "lowcarbon tourism".