安徽省全域旅游发展研究——基于空间杜宾模型

Research on the Development of Global Tourism in Anhui Province:Based on Spatial Dubin Model

基于2007-2016年面板数据,采用空间杜宾模型对安徽省16个城市的旅游业全要素生产率及空间溢出效应进行了实证分析。研究结论表明:安徽省旅游业存在显著的空间相关性,且安徽省各市旅游业表现出“低值-低值”到“高值-高值”的集聚特征转变趋势,安徽省各市旅游业的间接溢出效应不显著,经济发展水平、区位熵和交通通达度的直接溢出效应和总体溢出效应显著。

Based on the panel data from 2007 to 2016, the spatial Dubin model was used to empirically analyze the total factor productivity and spatial spillover effects of tourism in 16 cities in Anhui Province. The conclusions of the study indicate that there is a significant spatial correlation between tourism in Anhui Province, and the tourism industry in Anhui Province shows a "low value-low value"to "high value-high value" agglomeration feature transformation trend. The indirect spillover effects of tourism in the cities of Anhui Province are not significant, and the direct spillover effects and overall spillover effects of economic development level, location entropy and traffic accessibility are significant.