东道国政府质量对中国对外直接投资的影响——基于东盟十国的实证分析

The Influence of Host Country Government Quality on China’s OFDI——Based on Empirical Analysis of Ten ASEAN Countries

在中国与东盟十国越来越紧密的经贸关系中,国家间的投资合作成为重心,东道国的政府质量成为我国对外直接投资的重要影响因素。从国家治理因素出发,选取话语权和问责制、政治稳定性与非暴乱、政府效率、管理质量、法治程度和腐败控制作为解释变量利用因子分析和聚类分析对东盟十国的政府质量进行测度,建立东盟十国政府质量的综合评价模型,得到东盟十国政府质量的综合得分和分类表现。研究发现新加坡的政府质量最好。结合模型结果为中国向东盟十国的直接投资提出相关政策建议。

In the increasingly close economic and trade relations between China and ten ASEAN countries, the investment cooperation among countries has become the focus and the quality of the host country’s government has become an important factor affecting China’s foreign direct investment. Embarking from the national governance factors such as voice and accountability, political stability and the degree of violence, the government efficiency and management quality, rule of law and corruption control, the paper applies factor analysis and cluster analysis to measure the quality of ten ASEAN countries, constructs comprehensive evaluation model and get quality comprehensive score and classification performance of ten ASEAN countries. The research finds that government of Singapore has the best quality. Finally, with the results of the model, relevant policy recommendations are put forward for China’s direct investment in ten ASEAN countries.