中国边境地区地缘经济系统发展优势度空间分异

Spatial Differentiation of the Development Advantage of Geo-Economic System in China’s Border Area

在全球化力量持续增强的背景下,地缘经济的发展状态是国家开放水平的重要表征。边境地区是国家构建地缘经济联系的重点区域,基于地缘经济系统发展优势度评价内涵,使用ICEM模型对中国边境地区45个地级行政区的地缘经济系统发展优势度进行评价。结果表明:①中国边境地缘经济系统发展优势度在2001-2016年期间有所上升,但幅度较小;在2003-2004年和2008-2011年期间发展波动较大。②优势度空间分异特征明显,整体上呈东高西低、北高南低的格局;评价值排序为东北地区>内蒙古地区>云广地区>新疆地区>西藏地区。③预测结果显示未来云广地区与新疆地区发展势头强,东北地区、内蒙古地区与西藏地区则较差。④外部投资联系与外贸活动是地缘经济系统的搭建与运作核心,此外还应重点考虑政策影响、沿边口岸建设及固定资产投资等要素。

In the context of the growing power of globalization, the geo-economic development status is an important representation of the country's openness. The border area is the key area for the country to build geo-economic linkage. Based on the ICEM model, this article evaluates the development advantage of geo-economic system of 45 prefecturelevel administrative regions in China's border areas. The results show: l)The developmental advantage of the geoeconomic system of China's borders had a small growth during the period 2001-2016, but it fluctuated greatly in 2003- 2004 and 2008-2011. 2) It has obvious spatial differentiation characteristics in development advantage which higher value mainly distributes in the north and east The rank order of development advantage from high to low is the northeastern region, Inner Mongolia, Yunnan Province and Guangxi Province, Xinjiang and Tibet. 3) The prediction shows that Yunnan Province and Guangxi Province and Xinjiang show strong development momentum Compared with the northeastern region , Inner Mongolia and Tibet. 4) The foreign investment links and international trade activities are the basis for the operation of the geo-economic system in the border areas. In addition, it is necessary to take into account factors such as policy influence, port operation, fixed asset investment support.