版权保护强度与软件产业发展关系实证研究

An empirical study on the relationship between the intensity of copyright protection and the development of software industry

研究版权保护强度与软件产业发展的关系问题,对发展我国软件产业十分重要。以多元线性回归模型为工具,通过测量版权保护强度为前提,基于我国2000-2015年软件产业相关数据,分析版权保护强度与软件产业发展的关系。结果显示,2000-2015年期间,在不考虑其他影响因素下,版权保护强度与软件产业发展正相关,且相关性较显著;但是在综合考量版权保护强度、固定资产投资、正版软件收入额、软件产业就业人数、软件产业出口额、网络普及率及盗版软件数量等因素下,版权保护强度与软件产业发展负相关,且相关性较显著,固定资产投资与正版软件收入额与软件产业发展显著正相关,其他因素与软件产业发展无显著相关性。因此,不可一味追求高版权保护强度,而应当“因地制宜”加强版权保护,并结合提高固定资产投资和公民正版软件消费意识,方能有助于促进软件产业发展。

Studying on whether the improvement of copyright protection can promote the development of cultural industry is very important for the development of China's software industry. Using multiple linear regression models as a tool and the intensity of copyright protection as a premise, the relationship between the intensity of copyright protection and software industry is empirical analyzed on the relevant data of the 2000-2015 year software industry in China. The results show that the intensity of copyright protection in China has increased year by year along the 2000-2015 years. Despite other factors, the intensity of copyright protection is positively related to the development of software industry, and the correlation is significant. But taking 7 factors into consideration, such as the number of employees, the export of the software industry, the popularity of the network and the number of pirated software, the date shows that the intensity of copyright protection is negatively related to the development of the software industry, and the correlation is significant. The fixed assets investment and the positive software revenue are positively related to the development of the software industry, and there is no significant difference between the other factors and the development of the software industry. Therefore, we should not blindly pursue the high copyright protection intensity, but should strengthen the copyright protection "according to local conditions", and improve the awareness of the investment in fixed assets and the consumption of the positive software of the citizen so as to promote the development of the software industry.