基于社会网络分析的京津冀新型城镇化发展水平研究——以新沂市为例

Research on New-type Urbanization Development Level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Based on Social Network Analysis

基于2012-2016年京建冀13个城市的面板数据,参老京津冀发展特征,从经济发展、社会发展、生态环境和城乡统筹角度对评价体系进行筛选与重构,运用社会网络分析评价模型,对京津冀地区新型城镇化的发展水平和波动情况进行分析。结果表明:发展水平上,各城市呈现明显的差异性,北京、天津在新型城镇化发展过程中以绝对优势超越河北省各城市,河北省各城市的发展水平呈梯队分布。波动幅度呈稳定、弱幅型和强幅型三种状态,波动过程呈"稳定""倒退""跃进"和"振荡"四种变化态势。本文研究对测度京津冀新型城镇化发展水平,推进京津冀新型城镇化健康和谐发展具有重要意义。

Based on the panel data of 13 cities of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei in 2012-2016.the social network analysis and evaluation model was used to evaluate and analyze the development level,fluctuations,and spatial distribution of the new urbanization in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.According to the development characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,the indicator system was screened and reconstructed,from the economic development,social development,ecological environment and urbanrural integration perspective,based on the evaluation system built by Lan Qingxin.The results show that:At the development level,the cities present a significant difference.Beijing and Tianjin surpass all cities in Hebei Province in the process of new urbanization development.The development level of the cities in Hebei province is echelon-wide.The volatility ranges are stable,weak,and strong,and the volatility process shows four changes:"stabilityTregression","leap forward''and''oscillation''.This study is of great significance for measuring the development level of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei new urbanization and promoting the healthy and harmonious development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei new urbanization.