安徽省旅游业碳排放测度及驱动因素研究

A Study on Carbon Emission Measurement and Driving Factors of Tourism Industry in Anhui Province

基于2004—2016年的数据,利用“自下而上”法,以安徽省为例,从旅游交通、旅游住宿和旅游活动三方面估算了安徽省旅游业碳排放量。并利用LMDI分解法对旅游业经济增长的碳排放效应进行驱动因子分解。研究结果表明,能源强度变化对旅游业碳排放具有较为显著的抑制作用;旅游收入结构效应是引起省内旅游业碳排放增加的最主要拉动因素。旅游人数规模的快速增长是使安徽省旅游业碳排放增加的第二位原因;旅游消费水平效应与区域人口规模效应虽然也对安徽省旅游业碳排放的增加起到了一定的推动作用,但影响不大。

Based on the data from 2004 to 2016, using the bottom-up method and taking Anhui Province as an example, the carbon emissions of tourism in Anhui Province were estimated from three aspects: tourism transportation, accommodation and tourism activities. LMDI decomposition method was used to decompose the driving factors of the carbon emission effect of tourism economic growth. The results showed that the change of energy intensity had a significant inhibitory effect on the carbon emission of tourism. The structure effect of tourism income was the main driving factor for the increase of the carbon emission of tourism industry in the province. The rapid growth of tourism population size was the second reason for the increase of carbon emissions in Anhui tourism industry. Although the effects of tourism consumption level and regional population size also played a certain role in promoting the increase of carbon emissions in Anhui tourism industry, the impact was little.