沿海省市区“新四化”水平及其耦合协调度演进特征

On ‘new four modernization’ in coastal areas and evolution features of its coupling coordination

基于2006-2016年沿海11省市区的面板数据,利用熵-耦合模型对“新四化”发展水平及耦合协调度进行测算,结果表明:沿海省市区“新四化”发展水平平均得分由2006年的0.312 4、0.375 4、0.389 8、0.286 9提高至2016年的0.502 1、0.604 5、0.511 0、0.487 5,发展水平逐渐提高、发展趋势向好;新型城镇化、工业化发展水平相对较高,农业现代化以及信息化发展则明显滞后;沿海省市区“新四化”耦合协调度呈逐年增长趋势,其中长江三角洲地区和泛珠江三角洲地区的上海、江苏、浙江、广东等省份耦合协调度较高,环渤海经济区和华南沿海地区省份则相对较差。

Based on the panel data of the 11 provinces and municipalities in coastal areas from 2006 to 2016, the entropy-coupling model is used to calculate the development and coupling coordination of the “new four modernization”. Results show that the average development of the “new four modernization”in coastal provinces and urban areas increase respectively from 0.3124, 0.3754, 0.3898, 0.2869 in 2006 to 0.5021, 0.6045, 0.5110, 0.4875 in 2016, with a tendency of gradual improvement and a relatively higher level in the new urbanization and industrialization;but development in agricultural modernization and informationization obviously lagging behind. The coupling coordination of “new four modernization”in coastal areas tend to increase by year, among which coupling coordination in Yangtze River Delta and Pan-Pearl River Delta such as Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Guangdong is higher whereas that in Bohai Rim and other provinces and cities is relatively lower.