地表水环境数学模型研究进展

Advances in surface water environment numerical models

简述了地表水环境数学模型,包括水动力学模型、水质模型和水生态模型的发展历史、应用现状及国内外最新研究成果,深入探讨了模型敏感性和不确定性分析、模型模拟精度等应用中被广泛关注的疑难问题,指出模型系统化、综合化和平台化,大数据支撑下的与新兴技术结合创新,以及模型法规化等将成为水环境模拟与预测领域未来的研究热点。

This paper briefly described the surface water environment numerical models, including the development history, the application status, and the latest research results at home and abroad of hydrodynamic models, water quality models and water ecological models. Both methods of analyzing model sensitivity and uncertainty and problems of model precision were emphatically expounded. It is pointed out that the systematization, integration and platform construction of the model, the combination of innovation with emerging technologies supported by large data, and the related management issues such as model synthesis and regulation will become the future research hotspots in the field of water environment simulation and prediction.