越南对中美贸易摩擦的认知与政策选择

Vietnam’s Cognition and Policy Choice to Sino-US Trade Friction

2018年以来,中美贸易摩擦不断升级。在此过程中,相关方的认知以及政策选择也会发生相应变化并产生连带作用。本文以越南为例集中进行分析。中美贸易摩擦自爆发以来,对越南经济还没有形成明显的负面影响,而越南各界对此的基本判断是机遇与挑战并存。为应对中美贸易摩擦,越南政府和企业从长计议,试图通过国内改革来增强实力。而从短期来看,越南主要会采用非关税壁垒、汇率调整、投资过滤以及寻找新的市场等手段予以应对。

Since the beginning of 2018,Sino-US trade friction has been non-stop upgrading. In the process of Sino-US trade friction,the third party’s cognition and policy choices will also change accordingly and will have a joint effect. This paper selects Vietnam as a case for analysis. Since the outbreak of Sino-US trade friction,the Vietnamese economy has not yet had a significant negative impact on the objective. The impact of Sino-US trade friction on Vietnam,the basic judgment of Vietnamese is facing both opportunities and challenges. In response to Sino-US trade friction,Vietnam government has long considered and tried to strengthen its strength through domestic reforms. In a short term,the Vietnamese government will adopt non-tariff barriers,exchange rate adjustments,investment filtering and the search for new markets as the main means to deal with the issue.