房价上涨与中国城市“新二元结构”的加剧

HIGH HOUSING PRICES AND THE NEW DUAL STRUCTURE IN CHINESE CITIES

中国城市中以外来流动人口与本地居民收入差距扩大为特征的“新二元结构”正在制造新的不平等。本文理论分析发现:房价上涨导致城市本地居民收入提高、外来流动人口收入下降。本文将2014—2015年全国流动人口动态监测数据匹配到251个城市,实证检验表明房价上涨显著加剧了城市“新二元结构”,该结论在不同子样本与稳健性检验中都成立;作用机制检验表明房价通过引起城市本地居民收入提高与外来流动人口收入下降加剧了城市“新二元结构”。

The new dual structure characterized by the increasing income gap between urban migrants and local residents in Chinese cities is creating new in equalities. The theoretical analysis finds that high housing prices will increase the income of urban residents and decrease the income of urban migrants. On this basis, matching the Migrants Population Dynamic Monitoring Survey Data in 2014--2015 to 251 cities, the empirical tests show that the increase of housing prices significantly aggravated the city's new dual structure. This conclusion is also supported by different sub-samples and robust tests. Further tests confirm that the housing price has exacerbated the city's “new dual structure” by increasing the income of urban residents and decreasing the income of urban migrants.