越南与朝鲜经济制度变迁比较研究

A Comparative Study of the Economic Institute Change of Vietnam and North Korea

根据制度变迁理论可知,越南和朝鲜的经济制度变迁过程形成四个转折点,且在变迁过程中异质性制度间产生了摩擦和对立。研究表明,在这两个国家中,越南通过渐进式的经济制度变迁取得了实质性、突破性进展;而朝鲜虽然也经历了同越南相类似的四次转折点,但其经济制度变迁的幅度却是相当有限的,其性质也是非本质性的,并且在未来何时、以何种方式出现旨在实现市场经济制度路径变化的转折点,也难以预测。

According to the theory of institutional change, this paper analyzes four turning points in Vietnam and Korean economic system changes and further gives a comparison of the friction and conflicts between two heterogeneous systems. According to the result, the development of Vietnam’s economic system achieves substantial progress through its gradual reform, while North Korea’s economic system, though experienced similar turning points, gains limited development. Such limited changes are superficial, and it is difficult to predict the coming time and circumstance of the next turning point in North Korea’s realization of market economic system.