农业机械化、购置补贴扩展与农村劳动力转移——基于全国县级层面时空变化的实证分析

Agricultural Machinery Purchase Subsidy, Agricultural Mechanization and the Transfer of Rural Labor Force——A Study Based on the Time-spatial Change at the County Level in China

农业机械化在县级层面的变动趋势及机械化发展的时空变化特征、农机具购置补贴政策与农机总动力、农机具购置补贴政策与农村劳动力转移之间的关系、农业机械化对农村劳动力转移的作用效果表明,农机总动力的发展对农村劳动力转移具有显著的正向影响。21世纪以来中国农业机械化发展呈现出明显的时空变化特征,具体表现为农业机械化在华北和黄淮海地区、东北地区和长江中下游地区得到长足发展,农业机械化覆盖面在西南和西北地区得以扩大。农机具购置补贴政策能够实现县级层面的农机总动力发展和农村劳动力转移。

The changing trend of agricultural mechanization at the county level and the spatial and temporal characteristics of mechanization development, and the relationship between agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy and the total power of agricultural machinery, the subsidy policy for agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy and the transfer of rural labor force show that agricultural mechanization has positive effect on the transfer of rural labor force. Since the new century, the development of agricultural mechanization in China has shown obvious spatial and temporal characteristics, which are embodied in the considerable development of agricultural mechanization in North China, Huang River-Huai River-Hai River Basins, Northeast China and the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River, and the expansion of agricultural mechanization coverage in the southwest and northwest regions. Agricultural machinery purchase subsidy can promote the development of the overall power of agricultural machinery and the transfer of rural labor forceat the county level.