遵义市畜牧业温室气体排放与城镇居民可支配收入分析

Preliminary Study on Greenhouse Gases Emission of Animal Husbandry and Residents, Disposable Income in Zunyi City

对遵义市近16年城镇居民可支配收入与畜牧业温室气体排放进行分析,探讨城镇经济发展与畜牧养殖业温室气体关系。结果表明:(1)研究期间遵义市畜牧产业的温室气体排放量呈降低趋势;(2)总体上,遵义市畜牧业温室气体的排放随着城镇居民可支配收入的增加而下降;(3)城镇居民可支配收入与畜牧业温室气体排放呈现3个明显的阶段,每个阶段的畜牧业温室气体排放随着城镇居民收入的增加而增加。在这3个阶段中,城镇居民可支配收入每增加1000元畜牧业温室气体二氧化碳的排放当量的增加幅度分别为20×10^4t、8×10^4t和3×10^4t。这意味着遵义市的畜牧业在未来发展期间朝着低碳环保绿色的方向发展。该地区畜牧业的低碳排放趋势,必将为遵义市工业和其他相关产业碳排放提供较大的碳排放空间。

The paper explored the realtionship between urban economic development and greenhouse gases from livestock and poultry breeding through reviewing 16 years of data on urban residents'disposable income and greenhouse gases emission from livestock and poultry industry in Zunyi city. The results showed that the greenhouse gas emissions in the animal husbandry reduced during the study period.(2) In general, the emission of greenhouse gases decreased with the increase of disposable income of urban residents.(3)The residents, disposable income and greenhouse gas emissions from animal husbandry experienced three distinct stages, which were positively correlated in each stage. In these three phases, the increase in an equivalent of carbon dioxide (GHG) emission increased by 20 000 t, 80 000 t and 30,000 t, respectively, for each additional household income of ￥1,000 per household. This means that the livestock industry in Zunyi will develop into a low-carbon and environmental friendly one in the future.The low carbon emission trend of animal husbandry in this region will definitely provide greater carbon emission space for the industries and other related industries in Zunyi city.