基于ARIMA模型的电影票房收入预测

Prediction of Film Box Office Revenue Based on ARIMA Model

电影行业是我国文化产业的核心,而电影票房收入影响着电影行业以及我国文化产业的持续发展,因此对电影票房的预测就显得尤为重要。文章以2013年3月至2018年12月全国电影票房收入为数据基础,建立了全国电影票房收入的自回归移动平均(ARIMA)模型,并对2019年1月至2019年10月我国电影票房收入进行了预测。

The film industry is the core of China's cultural industry,and the movie box office income affects the film industry and the sustainable development of China's cultural industry.Therefore,the prediction of the box office of the movie is particularly important.Based on the national box office receipts from March 2013 to December 2018,this paper establishes the autoregressive moving average (ARIMA) model of national box office receipts,and the box office receipts of Chinese movies from January 2019 to October 2019.A prediction was made.