基于城市功能演化的上海人口发展趋势分析

Analysis on Development Tendency of Population in Shang Hai Based on Urban Functional Evolution

未来三十年,上海将作为卓越的全球城市崛起。在前瞻制定上海城市未来发展战略的过程中,人口是一个重要却难以有效把握的变量。基于此,本文在上海崛起成为全球城市的背景下,立足于上海经济和产业变迁机理,深入梳理全球城市人口发展的一般规律,从而分析未来上海人口发展趋势,为制定上海城市发展战略提供借鉴。

Shang Hai will spring up as distinguished global city in future 30 year. In the process of making future development strategy, population is an important flexible variable quantity. This paper taking Shang Hai will spring up as distinguished global city in future 30 year as background, based on economic and industry revolution organism and universal law of global city population development to analyze development tendency of population in Shang Hai to provide reference for making future development strategy of Shang Hai.