“一带一路”背景下中国与巴基斯坦产业贸易合作路径研究——基于RTA和OBC系数分析

China and Pakistan’s industrial Trade Path under the Background of "The Belt and Road Initiative":Based on RTA and OBC Coefficient Analysis

本文通过分析巴基斯坦国内产业贸易发展现状,结合巴基斯坦相对贸易优势指数(RTA)和中巴双边贸易综合互补性系数(OBC),探讨中国与巴基斯坦的产业贸易合作路径。研究发现:巴基斯坦在工业制成品贸易和商业服务贸易方面具有相对贸易优势,表现出同中国的强互补性;在农产品贸易方面与中国具有微弱互补性;在燃料及矿产品贸易方面显示出与中国的弱竞争性。因此,中国应在农业方面同巴基斯坦保持合作沟通,在工业方面积极寻求双边贸易关系升级、扩大对巴基斯坦的基础设施建设援助、加强能源合作,同时应进一步增强政治互信,加强口岸开放和新疆边境自由贸易区建设,以拓展中巴双方的产业贸易合作路径。

By analyzing the status quo of Pakistan's domestic industry development, combined with Pakistan's Relative Trade Advantage Index (RTA) and China-Pakistan bilateral trade comprehensive complementarity (OBC) coefficient, the paper analyzes the industrial and trade cooperation between China and Pakistan. It is found that Pakistan's industrial manufactured goods and commercial services trade have relative trade advantages, showing strong complementarity with China. It also shows weak complementarity in agricultural export and weak competition in terms of agriculture and mineral products with China. Therefore, China should maintain cooperation and cooperation with the Palestinian side in agriculture, actively seek bilateral trade relations in terms of industrial upgrading, expanding aid to Pakistan's infrastructure construction, strengthen energy cooperation. At the same time, it is of great necessity to strengthen political mutual trust, open more ports and strengthen the border free trade zones along Xinjiang, in order to further development of the industry and trade cooperation of the two countires.