基于时间序列分析模型的建筑能耗两级预测关系研究

The study has been supported by the National Key R&D Program of China

随着建筑智能化技术的普及,建筑能耗监测数据也更加精细。本文基于时间序列分析方法建立建筑能耗预测模型,得到商业建筑逐时能耗的预测结果,通过协调模型对变压器与支路的两级预测结果进行校正,探究其关系来帮助实现更精准的预测。

With the development of building intelligent technology,the data of building energy consumption monitoring becomes more precise and plentiful.In this paper,building energy consumption prediction model is established based on the time series analysis method,and monthly energy consumption prediction results of commercial buildings are obtained.The two-grade prediction results of transformer and branch are corrected through the coordination model,and the relationship between them is explored to make results more accurate.