黑龙江省农业生产性服务业与现代农业关系研究

Research on the Relationship between Agricultural Productive Service Industry and Modern Agriculture in Heilongjiang Province

发展现代农业对于促进农民增收、保障粮食安全、保持经济社会健康稳定发展具有重要意义。现代农业的发展需要大力发展生产性农业服务业。文章运用多元线性回归、协整检验、误差修正模型等方法对黑龙江省现代农业与农业生产性服务业发展进行实证分析。结果表明,有效灌溉面积、农业机械总动力、现代农业信息,农业贷款与现代农业发展具有长期均衡关系,农业科技、农业保险与现代农业发展呈负向相关。

Developing modern agriculture is of great significance for promoting farmers’ income,ensuring food security and maintaining healthy and stable economic and social development. The development of modern agriculture requires vigorous development of productive agricultural services. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the development of modern agriculture and agricultural service industry in Heilongjiang Province by means of multiple linear regression and co-integration test. The results show that the effective irrigation area,total power of agricultural machinery,modern agricultural information,agricultural loans and modern agricultural development in Heilongjiang Province have a long-term equilibrium relationship,agricultural science and technology,agricultural insurance and modern agricultural development are negatively correlated.