基于多智能体仿真的舰船动力系统航渡任务成功性研究

Research on mission success-probability of ship propulsion system based on multi-agent simulation

通过对舰船航渡任务过程的分析,得到了动力系统航渡阶段任务成功性的定义、判断准则和可靠性框图,建立了系统加权邻接矩阵;根据对设备故障类型的分析,得出了不同性质的设备故障对舰船航行的影响,建立了舰船动力系统航渡任务成功性的判断模型;结合典型示例,运用多智能体的方法和思路对动力系统航渡过程和设备故障情况进行了仿真,得到了任务成功率以及相关结论。为开展舰上其他系统对应研究提供了借鉴和依据,并为全舰以及编队的任务成功性和效能研究、故障维修中的备品备件需求等打下了基础。

The definition,judgment criterion and reliability block diagram of the propulsion system during the sail phase are presented.The system weighted adjacency matrix is established by analyzing the navy vessel sailing mission process.Based on the analysis of the equipment failure types,the influence of different types of equipment failure during sailing is obtained.The judgment model of the propulsion system mission success is established.Combined with typical examples,the multi-agent method and thought are used to simulate the propulsion system sailing process and the equipment failure,and the success probability and related conclusions are obtained.It provides reference and basis for the corresponding research of other systems onboard,and lays the foundation for the mission success and effectiveness analysis of a ship and a fleet,and spare parts requirements in failure repair.