台湾当局南海政策的历史演变与现实困境

An Analysis of the Historical Evolution and Present Dilemma of Taiwan Authority’s South China Sea Policy

台湾当局的南海政策是在沿袭民国时期南海政策的基础上展开的,并随着国际格局、南海情势的演变以及两岸关系的变化而不断演变。总体上看,由于南海问题的复杂性以及受到岛内外政治环境的约束,台湾当局的南海政策缺乏积极作为与清晰目标,始终处于被动因应的状态。台湾当局未来如何面对菲律宾南海仲裁案后的局势,是否会改变有关南海政策的主张,以及将给两岸带来什么样的影响,都存在着一定的变数。

The South China'sea policy of the Taiwan authorities developed from the Republic of China,and has evolved with the changes of international political and economic structures,the South China'sea situation,and the cross-strait relations. Generally speaking,due to the complexity of the South China'sea issue,and to be bound by the inside and outside political environment,the Taiwan authorities policy is lack of enthusiasm and clear goals,which makes it always in passive state to cope with unexpected situations. There are certain variables in how the Taiwan authorities will face the situation after the South China'sea arbitration,whether it will change the opinions on the policy and what impact it will bring to the two sides.