中国全要素生产率再估计及不同经济增长模式下的可持续性比较

The Re-estimation of Total Factor Productivity and the Economic Growth Sustainability Comparison among Different Economic Growth Mode in China

研究目标:对中国全要素生产率进行再估计,比较不同经济增长模式下的可持续性。研究方法:提出Network-IOSP指数法,利用该方法对中国省级数据进行实证研究。研究发现:中国TFP增长缓慢,年均增长1.64%,生产阶段TFP的增长是其主要推动力。各时间段的东部地区全要素生产率都高于中西部地区,这主要归因于生产阶段TFP差异。通过对8类经济增长模式之间优劣进行单边检验,发现大多数模式不存在显著性优劣差异。研究创新:将污染排放物的综合利用纳入TFP测算体系,提出Network-IOSP指数法,并从生产阶段和环境治理阶段进行分解,打开了TFP增长的黑箱,并比较不同经济增长模式下的可持续性。研究价值:有利于正确认识TFP增长的源泉,为相关政策的制定提供理论依据。

Research Objectives:This paper is to re-estimate the TFP growth and compare the economic growth sustainability among different economic growth mode in China.Research Methods:Network-IOSP index method is put forward,by which the empirical study on the China province data is carried out.Research Findings:The TFP grows 1.64%every year,in which the TFP growth of the production phase is the main driving force;The TFP of eastern region grows faster than that of the middle region and western region,owing to TFP of the production phase growing faster than that of the middle region and western region;There is no significant difference between the most kinds economic growth models by single side test.Research Innovations:Bring comprehensive utilization of pollutants discharged into TFP measurement system,Network-IOSP index method is put forward,by which TFP is decomposed from the production stage and the environmental governance stage,and the black box of total factor productivity growth is opened.This paper also compare the sustainability of economic growth in different economic growth models.Research Value:It helps to understand the source of TFP growth and provide theoretical basis for the formulation of relevant policies.