印度东进东南亚:新进展、动因及影响

India’s Eastward Advance to Southeast Asia: New Development,Motivation and Impacts

冷战结束后,印度提出"向东看"政策,拉开东进东南亚的序幕。2014年,印度进一步提出"东向行动",深化与东南亚国家的政治、经济和安全合作,取得显著进展。印度深化与东南亚国家合作是在美国、日本等国推进"印太战略"和东南亚国家开展大国平衡外交的背景下展开的,主要是为了对冲中国推进"一带一路"倡议在南亚和印度洋地区产生的影响。印度与东南亚合作对地区的潜在影响较大,印度有可能成为东南亚地区又一重要战略力量,东亚地区秩序也可能随着相关国家"印太战略"的推进面临严峻挑战。中国应积极扩大与印度在东南亚的合作,拓展双方的共同利益。

At the end of the Cold War, India put forward its"Look East" policy, thus opening the prelude of its eastward advance to Southeast Asia. In 2014, India further proposed the "Eastward Action" policy to deepen its political, economic and security cooperation with the Southeast Asian countries through its Indo-Pacific strategic vision,and has made a significant progress. It is against such background that the US and Japan among others are advancing their respective "IndoPacific" strategies and the Southeast Asian countries are pursuing a "balanced diplomacy" with major countries, that India has deepened its cooperation with the Southeast Asian countries, with an intention to hedge against the influence wrought by the advance of the Belt and Road initiative in South Asia and the Indian Ocean region. India’s cooperation with the Southeast Asian countries has a greater potential impact on the region, as India may become another major strategic force in Southeast Asia. As a result, the regional order in Southeast Asia is likely to face serious challenges with the advance of the "IndoPacific" strategies pursued by relevant countries. Therefore, China should actively expand its cooperation with India in Southeast Asia, and broaden their shared interests.