韩美同盟的韩国社会基础分析——基于问卷调查的实证研究

A Questionnaire-based Study on the Social Basis of the ROK-U.S.Alliance

本研究以2017年10月的问卷调查结果为依据,分析了韩美同盟②的韩国社会基础,将韩国社会在韩美同盟问题上的态度分为五类:"主动盟美""被动盟美""主动用美""被动用美"和"疏美"。研究发现,当时"疏美"人群占比最高,其次为"主动盟美""被动盟美""主动用美"和"被动用美"人群。"疏美"人群的政治立场偏"进步"。50岁人群中"疏美"比例最高,老年人和年轻人中"疏美"比例较低。"疏美"人群比例虽高,但不足以成为主导,而且他们的诉求容易引发"保守派"的团结和反对。未来,这种对立格局会减弱,"用美"将进一步成为主流。

Based on the results of the questionnaire survey,this study analyzes the South Korean social basis of the ROK-U.S. alliance. This study divides South Korean attitudes towards the ROK-U.S. alliance into five categories: namely active and faithful to the alliance,passive but faithful to the alliance,actively using the alliance,passive and evading the alliance obligations,and alienating the alliance. The "alienating the alliance" group has the highest proportion,and it is followed by groups of active and faithful to the alliance,passive but faithful to the alliance,actively using the alliance,passive using the alliance, and passive and evading the alliance obligations. Respectively ,the political stance of the "pro-American" group is more conservative,and that of the "alienating-American" group is more progressive. In the "alienating the alliance" group,50 year-old people have the highest proportion. Despite of its high proportion,the "alienating the alliance" group does not prevail. Their appeals tend to help "the conservatives" to unite and fight back. In the future,the difference between "pro-alliance" group and "alienating-alliance" group will weaken,and the people using the alliance will dominate.