变局之下他们如何看待不确定性本刊记者独家对话中外大咖

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不确定性并不是一个空泛的话题。事实上,在当今世界政治经济格局大变革的时代,不确定性已经成为我们需要长期考虑的一个话题。美国投资大鳄索罗斯就曾表示:“我什么都不怕,只怕不确定性。”2019年已经进入下半年,贸易摩擦、地缘政治等不确定性因素不但没有趋缓,反倒变得更加令人生畏。企业在进行外部抹境分析时,要充分考虑不确定性。一方面,应该对可能造成严重伤害的不确定性,设法化解与超越;另一方面,应该把握、利用不确定性,获得重大的战略机遇,实现战略性赶超。

Uncertainty is not an empty topic.In fact,in the era of great changes in world's political and economic structure,uncertainty has become a topic we need to consider for a long time.George Soros,an American investor,once said:"I fear nothing but uncertainty?When analyzing the external environment,enterprises should fully consider the uncertainty.On the one hand,we should try to resolve and transcend the uncertainty that may cause serious harm.On the other hand,we should grasp and make use of uncertainty to obtain major strategic opportunities and achieve strategic catch-up.Our reporters interviewed Michael Wucker,Lou yongliang,Shen yue-hua,Zhu fu-jiang,Gao dekang,Zhao zhifeng and other Chinese and foreign experts.They will explain the certainty of uncertainty from their own perspectives.