“工业4.0”对经济发展的影响及作用效果——基于德国行业面板数据的实证分析

Analysis of the Impact of “Industrial 4.0” on Economic Development Based on the Empirical Analysis of Industry Panel Data of Germany

以德国为研究对象,首次从实证角度探讨"工业4.0”的技术变革对经济发展的影响。"工业4.0”战略之后,德国经济平稳快速增长;采用德国11个主要行业的面板数据,得到"工业4.0”确实对德国经济有一定影响,信息物理系统中短期内物理层的投资会增加经济支出,但网络层和信息层在经济增长中会起到明显的促进作用;2014-2016年,“工业4.0"的时间效应显示德国产业发展出现明显的正向拐点效应。

Taking Germany as the research object, this paper discusses the impact of technological transformation of "Industrial 4.0"on the economic development. Since the strategy of "Industrial 4.0" was put forward,German economy have grown steadily and rapidly. After the use of the panel data of the 11 major German industries, "Industrial 4.0"had a certain effect on the development of the German economy. In the short term of information physical system, the investment in the internal physical layer will increase the economic expenditure, but the network layer and the information layer will play a significant role in the economic growth. the time effect of "Industrial 4.0" shows the obvious positive inflection point effect in the development of the German industry in 2014-2016.