基于复杂网络的城市老旧小区管理模式仿真研究

Simulation Research on Management Modes of Urban Old Residence Community Based on Complex Network

为比较老旧小区现存管理模式并探究其人际网络演化规律,运用复杂网络理论构建了老旧小区人际网络演化模型,对不同管理模式下人际网络的演化进行仿真。仿真结果通过陕西省共1 238份有效问卷的统计数据进行验证。结果显示:1)房改后,老旧小区居民间信息传递路径大幅上升,极易产生社会矛盾;2)老旧小区规模越大,居民间关系反而更稳定,信息传递路径会缩短,但同时小区的管理负担加重,不同管理模式的管理效果差异会缩小;3)物业公司管理模式能充分沟通居民间关系并缓解老旧小区社会矛盾,但其并非最佳的管理模式;4)大规模老旧小区采用市场化管理模式时要注意委托代理问题,小规模老旧小区管理应充分发挥居民自治能力。

To compare the existing management modes and explore the evolution rules of social network in old residence communities, this paper applies to the complex network theory to constructing the social network evolution model. The model carries out simulation experiments on the evolution of social network under different management modes. And simulation results are verified by the statistical data of 1238 valid questionnaires in Shaanxi province. Results show that: 1)after the housing system reform, the information transmission paths between residents in old residence community have raised sharply, and it is easy to produce social contradictions;2)with the scale expansion of old residence community, the relationships between residents is more stable and the length of information transmission paths is shorter. But the management burden will be aggravated at same time. The differences in management effects of different management modes will also be reduced;3)the management mode of property company can fully communicate the relationship between residents and alleviate the social contradictions in old residence community, but it is not always the best management mode;4)the principal-agent problem should be paid attention to when the large-scale old residence community adopts the market-oriented management mode, and the small-scale old residence community should give full play to the residents’ capability of self-government.