中国木质林产品贸易的互补性与贸易潜力研究——以“一带一路”经济走廊建设为背景

Research on the Complementarity and Trade Potential of China’s Woody Forest Products Trade——Based on the Construction of the“Belt and Road”Economic Corridor

以“一带一路”经济走廊建设为背景,基于联合国商贸数据库2001-2016年的数据,运用TCI指数及拓展引力模型对中国与“一带一路”经济走廊国家木质林产品贸易的特征、互补性、影响因素、贸易潜力等相关问题进行了分析。研究表明:中国与经济走廊国家木质林产品贸易流量逐年攀升,关系愈加紧密;中国与经济走廊国家木质林产品贸易整体互补性逐年上升,且在产品结构上有着较强的互补性;中国与经济走廊国家木质林产品贸易潜力差异显著,绝大部分国家与我国贸易潜力较大,表明中国与“一带一路”经济走廊国家木质林产品贸易有广阔的发展空间。

Based on the construction of the"Belt and Road"economic corridor, based on the data of the United Nations Business Database from 2001 to 2016, using the TCI index and expanding the gravity model to analyze the characteristics, complementarity, influencing factors and trade potential of China’s woody forest products in the"Belt and Road"economic corridor. The research showed that: the trade flow of woody forest products between China and economic corridors is increasing year by year, and the relationship is more closely related;the overall complementarity of China’s woody forest products trade with the economic corridors is increasing year by year,and there is strong complementarity in product structure. There is a significant difference in the trade potential of woody forest products in the corridor countries. Most countries have great trade potential with China, indicating that China has a broad space for development of woody forest products trade with the"Belt and Road"economic corridor.