基于索罗余值的三亚市旅游业效率变化与要素贡献测度

Measurement of Efficiency Change and Factor Contribution of Sanya Tourism Industry based on Solow’s Residual Method

本文基于2001-2018年三亚市旅游业、经济发展数据,首先分析了经济发展与旅游业发展关系,然后通过索罗余值法对旅游业效率变化及要素投入贡献进行了测度,结果发现:旅游业拉动三亚经济增长效应高于其他沿海旅游城市;三亚市旅游业全要素生产率变化呈现无规则波动,旅游业增长主要依靠资本要素投入和劳动要素投入,资本要素投入是主要驱动力,技术进步对旅游业的贡献并不明显;技术进步对旅游业增长的贡献呈现出先下降后上升的趋势,2017年、2018年技术进步对旅游业增长的贡献明显。

According to the data of tourism and economic development in Sanya from 2001 to 2018, it firstly analyses the relationship between economic development and tourism development, then measures the changes of tourism efficiency and the contribution of input factor by Solow ’s residual method. The results show that the effect of tourism on economic growth of Sanya was higher than the other coastal tourism cities of China, the change of total factor productivity of tourism industry in Sanya was irregularly volatility, the growth of tourism industry mainly depended on capital input and labor input, capital input was the primary contribution factor, the contribution of technological progress to tourism industry was not obvious, the contribution of technological progress to tourism industry growth shows downtrend at first and then turn to uptrend, the con-tribution of technological progress to tourism industry growth was obvious in 2017 and 2018.