近半个世纪以来中东地区石油政治透析

Petropolitics in the Middle East for nearly semicentury

石油政治的核心是对石油权力的争夺.1973年第四次中东战争之后的近半个世纪,中东地区石油政治的表现形式体现在石油与地区冲突、石油与石油输出国组织、石油与国有化运动、石油与域外大国的干涉四个方面.中东地区石油政治的共性特点可以用"五化"来概括,即家族化、组织化、碎片化、集团化和金融化.其中,家族化是其"污点",组织化是"立足点",碎片化是"风险点",集团化是"分界点",金融化则是"亮点".

The core of petropolitics is a struggle for power over oil.In the nearly half a century after the fourth Middle East war in 1973,petropolitics in the Middle East was manifested in such four aspects as oil&regional conflicts,oil&OPEC,oil&nationalization,and oil&intervention of foreign powers.The common characteristics of petropolitics in the Middle East can be summarized as'"five changes",namely,family(blemish),organization(foothold),fragmentation(risk),collectivization(demarcation)and financialization(lightspot).